Why malaria will kill more people than Covid

The global health agency has warned that malaria will probably kill more people than Covid-19 in sub-Saharan Africa this year.

The World Health Organization’s World Malaria Report 2020 says unprecedented success in controlling the disease over the past 20 years has stalled.

In an article on the World Economic Forum, the report adds that the Covid-19 pandemic has threatened to further disrupt programmes that deliver insecticide-treated mosquito nets, diagnostics and medicine.

Malaria is a preventable but life-threatening disease transmitted by the bites of infected female Anopheles mosquitoes. It killed 409,000 people last year and an estimated two-thirds of deaths are among children under the age of five.

Progress is slowing

The WEF article adds that since 2000, the global response to malaria has averted 1.5 billion cases and 7.6 million deaths.

“Twenty-one countries have eliminated malaria over the same period and the African Region, which accounted for 94% of cases in 2019, has cut its malaria death toll by 44%, from an estimated 680,000 in 2000 to 384,000 in 2019.”

But WHO says progress has slowed in recent years, particularly in countries with a high burden of the disease.

“A funding shortfall at both the international and domestic levels poses a significant threat to future gains. In 2019, total funding reached $3 billion against a global target of $5.6 billion. Funding shortages have led to critical gaps in access to proven malaria control tools.”

The annual estimate of malaria cases – there were 229 million in 2019 – has remained virtually unchanged over the past four years.

The global health agency is projecting that the world 2020 target for reducing malaria cases will be missed by 37% and the mortality reduction target will be missed by 22%.

Covid threat

WHO is also concerned that even moderate Covid-19-related disruptions in access to effective malaria treatment could lead to a considerable loss of life.

The report finds, for example, that a 25% disruption in access to effective antimalarial treatment in sub-Saharan Africa could lead to 46,000 additional deaths.

WEF reported WHO malaria programme director Pedro Alonso as having said “It’s very likely that excess malaria mortality is larger than the direct Covid mortality.”

The WHO is calling on countries and global health partners to step up the fight against malaria.

“While it is too early to measure the impact of the HBHI approach, the report finds that deaths in the 11 countries were reduced from 263,000 to 226,000 between 2018 and 2019,” WHO says.

“India continued to make impressive gains, with reductions in cases and deaths of 18% and 20%, respectively, over the past two years.”

Recommendations in the World Malaria Report 2020 include improving surveillance, monitoring and evaluation, and strengthening the health workforce and malaria expert base.

Call for innovation

Eliminating malaria in all countries, especially those with a high disease burden, is likely to require tools that are not available today, the WHO says.

In September 2019, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus issued a “malaria challenge”, calling for more investment in the research and development of new malaria-fighting tools and approaches.

This message was reinforced in the April 2020 report of the WHO Strategic Advisory Group on malaria eradication, which highlighted six main areas of focus that are reinforcing the global technical strategy for malaria 2016-30 and research and development for new tools.

It also highlights the need for access to affordable, high-quality, people-centred healthcare and services and adequate and sustained financing.

The report further called for strengthened surveillance and response and engaging communities.