If Kenya burns, blame Uhuru and Ruto or Raila and his cohorts

Countless times and in all manner of places right up to bedrooms, Kenyans are asking each other two questions: Who will win and will there be post-election violence? My standard answer to the first question is that it will either be President Uhuru Kenyatta or Mr Raila Odinga, but there is a caveat to that.

The defining factor will be turnout and if you just ask and do not go out to vote for your candidate, then you will have reduced their chances of winning. I also tell them that if Mr Kenyatta was confident he is winning by a big margin, he would not be hitting the road and riding in the bumpy air for weeks on end.