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A survey by Ipsos Synovate released in June 2016 revealed that crime rate in Nairobi was about twice the national average of 9 per cent.
The survey also showed the levels of violent crime had declined nationally from 48 per cent in November 2015, to 35 per cent in June 2016. Today’s brief analyses crime rates in Kenya and looks at the trends over a five years from 2012.
The analysis will also include a sample of seven police stations in different counties, noting the number of crimes reported in three years.
There was a significant drop of 2,456 in reported crimes between 2013 and 2014; this represents a 3.42 percentage point decrease.
Crimes reported however,recorded an upward trend from 2014 onwards. This trend suggests that the general crime rate has been increasing for the past three years.
All the counties analysed herein recorded an increase in crimes reported in 2016 with the exception of Kisumu and Mombasa.
West Pokot and Marsabit recorded lower numbers of crimes in general. The number of crimes reported in Marsabit in 2016 is almost 9 times lower than those reported in Kiambu.
However, it is important to note that the crimes reported in Marsabit show a rapid increase over three year.
Conclusion
There was a 6.2 per cent increase in the number of crimes reported nationally; therefore suggesting that they are on the rise.
On the other hand, the survey also revealed 7 different counties which all record an increase in crimes reported with exception of Kisumu and Mombasa.
It can be concluded that despite there being a decline in the number of crimes reported in different parts of the country, generally, they are on an upward trend.