A one-term president? Don't count Uhuru out

It should be noted that President Uhuru Kenyatta losing in the August polls–is not easy considering that the last opinion polls showed that the President is still leading the other potential presidential candidates.

On the other hand, he will become the first Kenyan President to have served only one term in office if he loses.

With his approval beginning to wane and a majority of Kenyans complaining about economic hardships, the possibility that President Uhuru will not be re-elected has entered the political bloodstream.

 Suddenly, the opposition alliance NASA envisions a scenario in which its presidential candidate could defeat Mr. Uhuru in a referendum on his job performance.

If President Uhuru will be defeated he will leave behind a divided party, an economy that is in a crisis and approval ratings in the tank and a sullen public rejecting them.

He will join a gallery of dashed hopes and crushed ambitions. History is filled with champs who didn’t take their next match more seriously.

They didn’t hire the best people, double down on money and organization or ruthlessly squeeze all of the political oxygen into their lungs before their challengers grew competitive.

That is the impression President Uhuru is portraying at the moment. What he is forgetting is that incumbency alone will not guarantee him re-election.

Disillusioned civil servants are getting tired at the dawn of each day with a government that has become insensitive with the health and wellbeing of its own people.

Uluru’s Government has allowed the Doctors strike to go on for an unnecessarily long time due to unsympathetic egos within the ministry of health.

Security in parts of the Rift Valley namely Baringo has come to a halt, with unperturbed bandits killing innocent Kenyans while the Government stays put in Nairobi.

Millions of Kenyans are starving due to poor food security policies, millions of youth are still jobless yet while campaigning five years ago the President gave hope by promising job creation.

 Spending is too much in Kenya right now.Most of the spending is unnecessary, including the huge salaries for the political elites within Government.

When you look at Kenya’s political system, you see gross overspending and unneeded funds sent to people who don't deserve those funds!

If we reduce on over spending, we'll regain our standing and reduce the burden being imposed on common mwananchi and the generations to come.

The cracks that are beginning to emerge in jubilee should be another eye opener to President Uhuru.

The public perception of the democratic space that jubilee has been boosting off is now changing.

With lots of people defecting and joining infringe parties like KANU and Maendeleo Chap Chap doesn’t portray the President’s re-election vehicle as a party that will hold together for a long time.

Mind you the party primaries will add another twist. All it requires is a resurged opposition to capitalise on all these perceptions to convince the electorate that we can’t do with another Uhuru Presidency.

In considering the chances for Uhuru’s re-election, it’s obvious that he doesn’t count as either a sure loser with a thin or non-existent list of accomplishments, nor does he qualify as an obvious winner with immortal achievements.

I wouldn’t bet on Uhuru losing. But in politics, and in life, sometimes the best way to understand the future and make decisions about the present is to consider the complete spectrum of possible outcomes—not just the ones you want.