The consistent provocation by Hon Awiti on Hon Joho, not on
development agenda, is politics polarized in frozen unproductivity.
There are three dimensions that the Nyali MP fails miserably
to address himself upon when he seizes opportunity to bash the governor.
One, he is oblivious about selling his policies to the
electorate.
Two, fails to persuade the cosmopolitan electorate to vote
for him, to be next Governor.
Three, fails to tell the audience or rather the electorate
that he represents the kind of change they wanted if elected.
Unless Hon. Awiti lives in Utopia, he shouldn’t have been
saying things he says in his political rallies. For his information, it’s not
business as usual at the Coast hence Hon. Raila Odinga doesn’t have a
guaranteed number of votes.
It was unfortunate for the MP to claim that Hon. Odinga has
amassed enough votes and therefore doesn’t need someone to campaign for him at
the Coast. Nothing is further from the truth.
In a nutshell, the ground is shifting hence Hon. Awiti
should not be misled. It’s expeditious for ODM brigade led by Governor Joho not
only at the Coast but Kenya at large to campaign vigorously by matching the
Jubilee juggernaut a rally for a rally. Otherwise ODM and entire Cord will be
embarrassed.
What Hon. Awiti is forgetting is that the political dynamics
in the country are changing and maybe irrevocably. Quiet a number of MPs have
decamped from opposition rendering its popularity to be at extremely low ebb.
For me, comparatively and politically speaking, the Nyali MP
is still learning the ropes. And the following are the reasons staked against
his ambition as he politically learns.
- Looking at
arithmetic’s Luo tribe domiciled in Mombasa cannot win him victory as they
constitute of only 3% of total registered voters.
- There is no
guarantee that they will vote for him en masse, probably some will vote for
Governor Joho or any other candidate.
- He is
disadvantaged in that Kambas, Luhyas, Mijikendas, Taitas, Taveta, Bajuns,
Somalis of Kenya origin, Gunyas living in Mombasa County could transfer their
allegiance all of a sudden to vote for him at the expense of the Governor.
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- Hon. Awiti
has not exposed himself enough to the wider Mombasa County in his first term as
MP to be Messiah of Mombasa residents.
On the contrary, Hon Joho has an edge over the MP because of his Mijikenda origin.
Secondly, by virtue of governor’s position as ODM Vice
Chairman and being the person who will lead Hon. Odinga’s 2017 election
campaign for Presidency he has coherent authority and legitimacy to endear
himself to voters.
Third, Hon. Joho has charisma to pull crowd not only at Mama
Ngina but at any place in Mombasa.
When Hon. Joho is trying hard to campaign for Hon. Odinga,
which Hon. Awiti interprets as prevailing on the latter to tell (Him) Awiti to
step down for the former in order to bag Luo votes, what is he (Awiti) doing to
popularize the former premier?
FRANCIS BARASA
0710102916